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Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
Scopus
ISSN 1410-8046 · Bank Indonesia · 788 articles in the index
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Journal Article
Re-Visiting the Debt–Output Nexus from the Perspectives of Long-Term Trend and Short-Term Volatility: An Application of the Threshold Model
Using the Hamilton filter and the panel threshold model, this study provides new evidence of the threshold effects of debt on output in 14 Asia-Pacific countries over the period 2005 to 2019. In the long term, we found a threshold debt value of 73.5 percent of GDP, below which debt has a positive…
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Journal Article
Disaggregated Economic Complexity and Inflation in OECD Countries
This study probes the intricate relationship between economic complexity and inflation dynamics, an area that has been relatively under-researched despite the potential for economic complexity to predict inflation. We focus on selected OECD countries and use panel data from 1998 to 2021. Utilizing…
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Journal Article
Fear from Eating Outside? Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Consumer’s Willingness to Utilize Catering Services in Chinaering Services in China
Since the onset of economic reforms, the catering industry has been playing a crucial role in China’s economic development. However, due to the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Chinese government has implemented strict pandemic prevention policies such as (home quarantine and suspending work…
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Journal Article
Age Structure and Inflation Dynamics in Pacific Island Economies
This study uses the panel of six Pacific Island Countries (PICs) to investigate the relationship between changing age structures and inflation. The findings suggest that both aggregated and disaggregated shares of the working-age population exert disinflationary pressure. This supports the life…
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Journal Article
The Impact of Central Bank Digital Currencies News on Bank Stability: Evidence from ASEAN-5 Countries
This study constructs an index reflecting Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) news coverage and evaluates its impact on bank stability. The CBDC Attention Index (CBDCAI) is formulated based on more than 533 Reuters Digital News Report articles from 2019 to 2023. Employing the System Generalized…
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Journal Article
Evaluating the Role of Bank Specific, Macroeconomic, and Institutional Factors in Determining Banking Sector Performance: Evidence from South Asian Economies
This study investigates the bank-specific, macroeconomic, and institutional factors affecting the performance of the banking sector specifically profitability and stability in South Asian countries from 2011 to 2020. Using a two-step system GMM estimation method on a balanced panel dataset, the…
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Journal Article
Green Banking Disclosure and Financial Trade-Offs: Evidence from Indonesia’s Banking Sector
This study explores the relationship between green banking disclosure, firm performance, and firm value, with firm size and age as moderating variables. The study analyzed 578 observations from 43 banking companies in Indonesia. The findings reveal that green banking disclosure significantly…
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Journal Article
Bank Soundness Index for Indonesia: The Generalized Dynamic Principal Component Analysis Approach
In Indonesia, the Bank Soundness Index (BSI) serves as an early warning instrument for assessing the stability of Conventional Commercial Banks (CCBs) and Islamic Commercial Banks (ICBs). This study develops the BSI employing the Generalized Dynamic Principal Component Analysis (GDPCA) methodology…
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Journal Article
Central Bank Financial Strength, Credibility, and Global Market Risk: Evidence From Southeast Asian Economies
This paper examines central bank credibility in the context of its financial strength, independence, and global market uncertainty in five Southeast Asian countries between 2005 and 2023. We find that the global market risk indicated by VIX reveals that these Southeast Asian economies, despite…
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Journal Article
Puzzling Behavior in Monetary Policy Transmission: New Evidence From Central Asian Economies
The misidentification of monetary policy shocks typically produces the price, and the exchange rate puzzles in empirical studies. Numerous identification approaches have been introduced in the VAR literature, and these approaches have been applied to address anomalies in various countries. This…
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Journal Article
Inflation-Differential Rule Versus (De Facto Soft-Peg) Discretion: Exchange-Rate Management Approach in Developing Economies
Many developing and emerging economies officially report a managed floating exchange-rate regime tailored with a fundamental exchange rate management approach, while in practice operating a de facto soft peg, characterized by discretionary, near-constant exchange-rate depreciation aimed at…
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Journal Article
Fiscal Decentralization, Local Government Size, and Regional Economic Growth: Evidence From Indonesia
This study investigates the dynamic relationship between fiscal decentralization, local government size, and regional economic growth in Indonesia. Integrating fiscal federalism theory with the Armey curve framework, the study examines whether decentralization reshapes the scale of subnational…
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Journal Article
Powering Tomorrow: Does Financial Development Induce Renewable Energy Consumption in BRICS+ Nations?
This paper analyzes the influence of financial development on the implementation of renewable energy in BRICS+ nations, addressing both short-term and long-term implications. The empirical research utilizes Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Nonlinear ARDL models, analyzing data from 1992 to…
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Journal Article
Oil Futures Reactions to Monetary Policy Surprises: A High-Frequency Analysis
This study examines how oil futures respond to monetary policy shocks arising from FOMC and ECB target-rate announcements, using high-frequency data. The results indicate that both sets of announcements significantly influence oil futures prices. However, FOMC decisions have a more pronounced…
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Journal Article
Expansion, Diversification, and Delinquency in Indonesian Fintech Lending Platforms
This study examines the impact of loan expansion and diversification strategies on credit risk in Indonesia’s fintech lending sector using panel data from 102 registered platforms between 2022 and 2025. Employing fixed-effects regression models, we analyse how loan growth and diversification…
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Journal Article
Does Green Electricity Mitigate Carbon Emission Externalities? Industry-Specific Effects on Firm Profitability, Operational Efficiency, Valuation, and Market Risk in Taiwan Listed Companies
his study explores the relationship between carbon emissions and firm financial performance across industries and how green electricity adoption moderates this effect. Using 9,925 firm-year observations from the Taiwan Economic Journal, we estimate panel regressions and compare Fixed Effects robust…
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Journal Article
Passed Through or Pushed Back? Exchange Rate Effects on Manufacturing Trade Prices in Indonesia and the ASEAN Plus Three
This study analyzes the Exchange Rate Pass-Through (ERPT) on export and import prices in Indonesia’s manufacturing trade with ASEAN Plus-three countries (China, Japan, and South Korea) using monthly data from 2016 to 2022. Employing the Nonlinear (NARDL) models, we examine the degree and asymmetry…
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Journal Article
Bank Stability Under Global Risk Uncertainty: The Interplay of Internal Characteristics and External Regulatory Environment
This study examines the impact of global political and climate uncertainty on bank stability, utilizing panel data from 604 banks across 40 countries during the period 2011–2022. Through fixed effects and difference GMM methodologies, the analysis reveals that both geopolitical and climate risks…
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Journal Article
Hierarchical Bayesian Evidence on CBDC Adoption: The Case of Indonesia’s Digital Rupiah
This study analyzed accessibility, privacy, transferability, and interest rates related to the adoption of Digital Rupiah, Indonesia’s Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), among rural and urban consumers. Findings from a hierarchical Bayesian model show that mobile applications are the main…
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Journal Article
EDITORIAL "Geopolitics, Climate Risks, and Digitalisation: The Future of Central Banking — Special Issue of the 19th BMEB International Conference"
EDITORIAL "Geopolitics, Climate Risks, and Digitalisation: The Future of Central Banking — Special Issue of the 19th BMEB International Conference"