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فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران
ISSN 1726-0728 · Allameh Tabataba'i University Press · 747 artikel di indeks
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Artikel Jurnal Teks lengkap
The Impact of Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Stock Market Index Returns in Iran: A NARDL Approach
This research examined the asymmetric effects of domestic economic policy uncertainty (DEPU) and global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) on stock market index returns in Iran. The study focused on simultaneous analysis of economic policy uncertainty originating from both domestic and global…
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The Dynamics of Fintech’s Impact on Economic Growth in Iran
Today, the significance of the presence and emergence of fintechs—particularly those active in the financial sector—is widely recognized. This importance is reflected in the growing number of recent studies that examine fintech performance and its relationship with macroeconomic indicators at the…
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Identifying and Analyzing Factors Affecting Subjective Poverty in Iran
The current study aimed to identify and analyze the factors influencing subjective poverty in Iran. As an applied research, it employed a mixed methods research design to address the topic. The theoretical population consisted of experts in the field of subjective poverty, and a judgmental sampling…
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Exchange Rate Forecasting in Iran Using Data Fusion and a Comprehensive Machine Learning Model
The exchange rate is recognized as a key economic indicator influenced by multiple factors. Some of these factors manifest as measurable economic variables, while others are reflected in political and financial news. A central, unresolved question is whether it is possible to develop a…
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Market Size and Strategic R&D Personnel Recruitment as a Barrier to Foreign Entry
The current study examined how strategic R&D investments by incumbent domestic firms influence entry deterrence against foreign competitors in an era of rising global market concentration. The objective was to analyze whether, and through what mechanisms, such investments operate as an endogenous…
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Estimating the Probability of Loan Default in Melli Bank: A Comparative Study of Machine Learning and Econometric Approaches
The current study employed a comparative analytical framework to examine credit-default prediction. It relied on a comprehensive dataset of 56,965 loan contracts issued between 2019 and 2024 across the northern branches of Bank Melli Iran. Three modeling approaches were evaluated: traditional…
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The Effect of Growth-Maximizing Regulatory Levels on Industry: A Comparison of Developed and Developing Countries
The present study aimed to examine the effect of regulatory levels on industrial value-added growth, comparing the results between developed and developing countries. For this purpose, a nonlinear equation was estimated using the panel GMM method and the delta method for the period 2000–2019. The…
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A Spatio-Temporal Assessment of Regional Development in the Counties of Khuzestan Province Using Numerical Taxonomy
Measuring the level of economic development in the counties of Khuzestan Province is essential due to the region’s cultural, economic, and environmental significance. Such an evaluation can aid policymakers, researchers, and local communities in making informed decisions about policy design…
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Estimation of the Vector Autoregressive Model with the Multivariate Skew Normal Distribution for the Shocks: Application to Two Real-World Datasets
Modeling plays a crucial role in economic and financial research, forming the foundation for analysis, decision-making, policy development, and planning. Assumptions made during the modeling process are particularly important for estimation and forecasting, as they can significantly influence the…
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Modeling the Budget Deficit in Different Funds of the Iran Health Insurance Organization and the Factors Affecting It
Today, health insurance is recognized as one of the most important sources of financing in the health sector. In this regard, improving the level of satisfaction of the insured and increasing their access to medical services are among the primary goals of health insurance organizations…
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The Effect of Deepening Financial Institutions and Financial Markets on Tax Evasion in Iran
The expansion and deepening of the financial sector-one of the most critical sectors of any economy-can influence tax evasion. The present study aimed to examine the effect of the deepening of financial institutions and markets on tax evasion in Iran. First, the multiple indicators multiple causes…
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The Economic Origins of Undemocratic Policymaking: The Case of Shock Therapy and Structural Adjustment Programs in Iran’s Economy
Over the past three decades, the repeated failure of structural adjustment policies in Iran has cast doubt on the effectiveness of imported shock therapy models in addressing the country’s economic and political challenges. The current study, drawing on the art of economics as the methodological…
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The Role of Technological Innovation, Financial Market Risk, and Institutional Quality in Shaping the Impact of Natural Resource Revenues on Financial Development
The resource curse hypothesis, as an important area of research, addresses the complex relationship between natural resource revenues and financial development. The impact of natural resource revenues on the financial development of any country can be influenced by factors such as technological…
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Return and Volatility Spillover Under Bearish and Bullish Market Conditions: The Case of the Stock Market and Its Competing Markets in Iran
Given the interconnected nature of financial markets, understanding the relationships among them is essential for investors and traders in selecting optimal portfolios, and for policymakers in adopting appropriate monetary and financial policies. The present study aimed to investigate the…
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Analyzing the Dimensions and Causal Relationships of Economic Warfare: An Application of the Fuzzy DEMATEL Method
Economic warfare has increasingly replaced traditional forms of conflict as the primary means of exercising power in the contemporary international system. In this regard, the present study aimed to identify the key dimensions of economic warfare and examine the causal relationships among them. The…
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An Institutional–Behavioral Approach to Economic Policymaking and Its Implications for Iran
The increasing complexity of policymaking in today’s rapidly evolving world has underscored the need for hybrid analytical models to better explain the determinants of policy success and failure. Existing research suggests that both institutional and behavioral approaches have limitations in…
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Dynamics of the Relationship Between Financial Inclusion and Tax Revenue: A Wavelet-Based Multiscale Quantile-on-Quantile Analysis
This study examined the impact of financial inclusion on tax revenue in Iran over the period 1980–2022 using the novel wavelet quantile-on-quantile regression (WQQR) approach. This advanced methodology allows the relationship between variables to be analyzed across different quantiles and multiple…
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Energy Efficiency Assessment in 11 Emerging Economies: A Three-Stage DEA-SBM Approach with Undesirable Outputs
This study evaluated the energy and environmental efficiency of 11 selected emerging economies using a three-stage model of data envelopment analysis–slacks-based measure (DEA-SBM) framework with undesirable outputs. Capital formation, labor, and energy consumption were used as input variables…
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The Impact of Industrial Structure on Green Economic Efficiency in the Provinces of Iran: A Spatial Tobit Approach
The balance between economic development and environmental sustainability is a fundamental determinant of sustainable development. Moreover, the optimal industrial structure is a key factor influencing both economic growth and the transition to a green economy. In this respect, the present study…
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An Analysis of Speculators’ Behavior in the Iranian Housing Market Through Agent-Based Modeling and Genetic Algorithm
Housing is both a basic necessity and a non-substitutable commodity that possesses a dual nature, functioning simultaneously as a consumption good and a durable capital asset. Relying on the agent-based modeling, the present study aimed to develop a systemic model of housing price formation that…