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İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi
ISSN 2148-3876 · Istanbul University Press · 170 articles in the index
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Journal Article
Corrigendum to Examining Education, Culture, Health, and Workforce Characteristics of Turkish Provinces: A Cluster-Based Analysis
Following publication, the authors identified errors in several in-text citations, portions of the literature review, and the reference list. The authors subsequently requested that these errors be corrected.The corrections are limited to citation and reference information and the corresponding…
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Journal Article
Federal Reserve Rate Decisions, Risk Sentiment, and Cryptocurrency Returns: Evidence from FOMC Event Windows
This study examines whether major cryptocurrency returns respond systematically to scheduled Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate announcements and whether FOMC-window movements are explained more by realised policy decisions or by broader risk-sentiment conditions. Using daily data for Bitcoin…
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Journal Article
Predicting Systemic Banking Crises: An Early Warning System Based on Panel Logit Approach
This paper presents the determinants of systemic banking crises and develops an early warning system using a dynamic panel logit model based on data from 42 countries between 1980 and 2021. Empirical findings reveal that the credit gap is one of the strongest leading indicators of banking crises…
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Journal Article
Regional Convergence in Inclusive Growth: Evidence from Türkiye
The 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the subsequent COVID-19 pandemic severely disrupted both global efforts and individual progress in reducing poverty worldwide. In addition to worsening poverty, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis widened income and wealth inequalities and hindered equitable access…
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Journal Article
Technological Innovation, Public Policies, and Renewable Energy Production: Evidence from EU Countries and Türkiye
Technological innovation is an issue that countries attach importance to for competitive advantage today. The cost of establishing the infrastructure required for technological innovation requires the support of the state. Support is provided in this area through public policies. When the depletion…
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Journal Article
The Impact of Public Tertiary Education Expenditures on Income Distribution: An Empirical Analysis for Türkiye
Income distribution constitutes one of the core issues in the literature, discussed within the dual frameworks of efficiency and equity. From a theoretical perspective, education expenditures are expected to mitigate income inequality by enhancing human capital and promoting equal opportunities…
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Journal Article
Electric Vehicle Adoption Convergence in the European Union: A Situation Assessment with Club Convergence Analysis
The European Union, which has emerged as a global leader in addressing climate change, has adopted a series of specific policies aimed at the transportation sector, which contributes significantly to emissions. The European Union intends to push its member states towards climate neutrality via a…
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Journal Article
Examination of Income Inequality in Regional Housing Market Dynamics: Evidence from NUTS 2 Regions in an Emerging Economy
Fluctuations in asset prices significantly influence the allocation of wealth across different income groups and regions. This study examines the influence of income groups, stock market investments, and various macroeconomic factors on housing prices in different regions of Türkiye from 2015 to…
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Journal Article
Macroeconomic Determinants of Financial Development in Türkiye: Evidence from the Fourier Bootstrap ARDL Approach
This study investigates the long-run impact of economic growth, natural resource rents, gross fixed capital formation growth, trade volume, and inflation on financial development in the Turkish economy spanning the period 1988-2020. To accurately model the inherent non-linear dynamics and gradual…
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Journal Article
Does Genre Matter? Heterogeneous Shocks and the Resilience of the Turkish Film Industry
This study presents the first comprehensive macroeconometric analysis of the Turkish cinema industry over a volatile two-decade period (2002–2023), characterised by the industrial maturation of New Turkish Cinema amid chronic macroeconomic instability. utilising the autoregressive distributed lag…
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Journal Article
Volatility Spillovers Between Oil Prices and Sectoral Stock Indices in Türkiye: Evidence from VAR-Diagonal BEKK-GARCH
This study assesses the volatility spillovers between Brent crude oil prices and main sectoral index returns on Borsa Istanbul using daily data from January 2, 2015, to 28 July 2025. Unlike previous studies that focus on aggregate market indices, this research provides a granular sectoral analysis…
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Journal Article
The Effects of Geopolitical Risk Index on Military Expenditures
In recent years, investigating the impact of the geopolitical risk index on military expenditures is a current issue in the literature. The study investigates the effects of geopolitical risk index on military expenditures in 25 OECD countries for the period 1999-2022. We tested the impact of…
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Journal Article
A SHAP-Based Evaluation of Machine Learning Models for CBRT Monetary Policy Decisions
This study classifies the monthly interest rate decisions of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey between 2010 and 2024 into three categories: increase (hike), decrease (cut), and hold, using machine learning methods, and examines which macroeconomic and financial variables are associated…
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Journal Article
An Artificial Intelligence-Supported Sociological Analysis: The Relationship Between Financial Exclusion and Inequality in Access to Banking Services in Türkiye
This study examines the relationship between provincial-level financial infrastructure indicators—including the number of branches, ATMs, POS devices, and member businesses—and income inequality in Türkiye from a sociological perspective. Drawing on Pierre Bourdieu’s concepts of capital and field…
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Journal Article
Tax Auditing with Blockchain in Light of International Experience and Application Possibilities in Türkiye
This study is a narrative literature review examining the use of blockchain technology in tax auditing through selected country examples. Countries were selected using a purposive sampling method based on whether they had implemented blockchain technology in tax auditing or public financial…
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Journal Article
Blockchain-Based Payment Technologies and Bilateral Trade Flows: Gravity Model Evidence from Argentina
This study investigates whether cryptocurrency adoption has affected Argentina’s bilateral trade flows within a gravity-model framework. While blockchain-based technologies are often expected to reduce transaction costs and facilitate international trade, quantitative evidence on their actual…
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Journal Article
Determinants of Import Prices: An Econometric and Machine Learning-Based regularisation Approach
This study examines the determinants of import unit prices by highlighting the importance of the price dimension in Türkiye’s nominal imports over the period 2005-2024. In this regard, the analysis focuses on economic and global factors that affect import unit prices. The objective is to contribute…
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Journal Article
Multilevel Determinants of Household Poverty: A Mixed Effects Logistic Regression Analysis
This study investigates the socioeconomic determinants of poverty in Turkey by incorporating household characteristics with regional indicators using 2024 data using a multilevel mixed-effects model. Relative poverty, defined as 60% of the median equivalised household disposable income, serves as…
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Journal Article
The Impact of Institutional and Economic Factors on Economic Growth in Selected SAARC Countries: Panel Data Analysis
Following the Second World War, numerous global economic organisations were established to restructure the world economy and foster increased international cooperation. Inspired by these organisations, the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) was established among South Asian…
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Journal Article
Assessing The FDI-Environment Nexus Using The Load Capacity Factor: A Seemingly Unrelated Regression Approach For G7 And Brics-T
The pursuit of economic growth has intensified countries’ efforts to attract foreign direct investment; however, growing concerns regarding the environmental consequences of such inflows underscore the need for broader and more comprehensive ecological indicators. This study contributes to the…