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npj Natural Hazards
ISSN 2948-2100 · Nature Portfolio · 221 artikel di indeks
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Artikel Jurnal
Glacial lakes and GLOFs in a warming Himalaya-Karakoram region: current understanding, challenges, and the way forward
Abstract The cryosphere of the Himalaya–Karakoram is rapidly retreating under climate change, leading to widespread formation and expansion of glacial lakes and increasing the risk of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). To date, more than 388 GLOF events have been documented in the region…
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Artikel Jurnal
Climate extremes and urbanization drive flood tipping points at the city–river interface
Abstract Hurricane Ida struck the U.S. East Coast in August 2021, driving the Schuylkill River in Philadelphia to a record discharge nearly 100 times its average flow. Ida exposes the growing challenge of predicting urban flooding arising from coupled rainfall–runoff and river–tide–landscape…
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Artikel Jurnal
Projections of tropical cyclone-driven storm-tide risk to critical infrastructure in the Bay of Bengal
Abstract Due to its low elevation and densely populated coast, the Bay of Bengal (BoB) is uniquely vulnerable to tropical cyclone (TC)-driven storm-tides. This study uses a high-resolution, coupled hydrodynamic and wave model of the BoB to simulate several millennia of present and future climate…
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Artikel Jurnal
Widespread forest disturbance from windthrow in central African rainforests
Abstract Natural disturbances are major drivers of tropical forest dynamics, yet their role in Central Africa’s old-growth rainforests, the world’s second largest tropical forest block, remains poorly quantified. Here we present the first regional assessment of windthrow, the uprooting or breakage…
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Artikel Jurnal
Monitoring landslide disturbances using distributed acoustic sensing under extreme weather conditions
Abstract Extreme weather significantly challenges the effective and timely monitoring of landslide disasters. Distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) offers unique capabilities for monitoring slope failures during extreme weather events such as typhoons by transforming pre-deployed optical fiber cables…
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Artikel Jurnal
Ice-patch collapse and early-warning implications from a Himalayan flash flood: emerging cryo-hydrological hazards under deglaciation
Abstract Emerging cryo-hydrological hazards linked to deglaciation are increasingly affecting high-mountain environments, yet their precursors remain poorly constrained. We investigate the 5 August 2025 flash flood at Dharali, Uttarkashi (Central Himalaya), and present evidence that it was…
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Artikel Jurnal
Urbanization and Local-scale storm characteristics dominate spatially divergent tropical cyclone rainfall trends in South China
Abstract Climate models largely assume uniform intensified tropical cyclone precipitation under global warming, overlooking critical local-scale variability. Analyzing 366 tropical cyclones that affect South China (1979–2018), we show that urbanization and local-scale storm characteristics strongly…
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Artikel Jurnal
Population exposure predicts flood losses in Sweden
Abstract This study provides a national-scale assessment of flood exposure in Sweden by integrating high-resolution population and building data with inundation extents for the 100-year and highest possible flood scenarios. Exposure increases sharply under the extreme event, with building exposure…
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Artikel Jurnal
Obstacle-induced dissipation of tsunami waves: linking solitary-wave and N-wave formulations
Abstract Tsunami waves are long gravity waves that propagate nearly conservatively in deep water, but may undergo significant energy dissipation during nearshore propagation due to coastal vegetation, roughness, and man-made structures. Quantifying this obstacle-induced attenuation in a physically…
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Artikel Jurnal
Reconstructing storm Gloria in a changing climate using physical storylines
Abstract We present a storyline analysis investigating the impacts of background warming on storm Gloria, a severe winter storm that affected the western Mediterranean in January 2020, producing exceptional precipitation, fatalities, and substantial economic damage. The study employs global, ~ 9…
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Artikel Jurnal
Anthropogenic transition in flood regimes: insights from a millennium of the Yangtze River records
Abstract Global floods are intensifying, yet climate change alone cannot resolve the persistent precipitation-flood paradox. Our millennial-scale analysis of the Yangtze River reveals that human activities, primarily deforestation and polder expansion, now outweigh climatic drivers in shaping flood…
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Artikel Jurnal
SWOT-based water surface elevation observations improve flood modeling of the 25·7 Miyun reservoir basin extreme rainfall event
Abstract Floods are destructive, yet quantifying 3D dynamics remains challenging for traditional satellites. The SWOT mission provides Water Surface Elevation (WSE) measurements for flood monitoring. We assessed the catastrophic Miyun flood (July 2025) where rainfall was extreme. We developed the…
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Artikel Jurnal
Global acceleration of compound flood risks through fluvial-tidal interactions in a warming climate
Abstract Accelerating global sea-level rise (SLR) is fundamentally restructuring coastal flood regimes, particularly in complex estuarine systems where fluvial-tidal interactions govern hydrological extremes. In this study, we reveal a significant increasing trend in compound flooding probability…
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Artikel Jurnal
Extreme precipitation changes in relation to urbanization
Abstract The rising frequency of extreme precipitation is a major concern linked to climate change, commonly associated with increased atmospheric water vapor due to global warming. In densely populated areas, intense rainfall has particularly severe impacts, with urbanization amplifying extreme…
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Artikel Jurnal
Severe rapid indian monsoon weakening due to emissions from extreme Canadian wildfires
Abstract August 2023 was the driest Indian monsoon August in recorded history, the causes for this extended precipitation deficit in an otherwise typical monsoon remaining unclear. Given that monsoonal precipitation is highly sensitive to northern hemispheric aerosol abundances, here we investigate…
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Artikel Jurnal
Satellite image-based structural mapping reveals new earthquake sources in eastern Indonesia: implications for active tectonics and earthquake hazards
Abstract The origin of large-scale tectonic extension in eastern Indonesia remains unresolved, as existing models do not account for the magnitude, spatial continuity, and kinematics of the observed deformation. Here we map active tectonic structures using 8-m-resolution Digital Elevation Model…
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Artikel Jurnal
Incorporating compound temporal precipitation dynamics to enhance landslide susceptibility modeling
Abstract Precipitation plays a crucial role in landslides, which most studies have disregarded the impact of compound temporal precipitation. Here, we developed models that incorporate compound temporal precipitation, constructed by jointly characterizing long-term accumulated precipitation and…
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Artikel Jurnal
Beyond warnings and shelters: local institutions and trust build cyclone resilience in Bangladesh
Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) severely threaten coastal Bangladesh, making it crucial to understand how communities respond to disaster preparedness and warning systems, as well as the effectiveness of local institutions in mitigating risks and aiding recovery. This study assessed community…